U.S. Migration Trends: Where Multifamily Capital Is Moving

The 2024 U-Haul Growth States Report reveals where Americans are relocating—and what that means for multifamily investors. Florida, Texas, and the Carolinas dominate the map, while new momentum in Indiana and Utah signals deeper structural shifts. Discover which markets are poised for long-term rental demand.

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The Uninhabitable States of America

On October 17, 2024, German newspaper “Die Zeit” published an article titled “The Uninhabitable States of America,” which fundamentally questions the future insurability of risks in the U.S.

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The Bay Point

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Why we invested

2024 – Adapting Investment Strategies

As market conditions evolve, so too must our investment strategies. Since 2022, interest rates have risen significantly, prompting us to reassess and refine our approach to remain successful in a challenging market environment.

“Villas at Flagler Pointe”

The “Villas at Flagler Pointe” in South St. Petersburg exemplifies how our speed, determination, and a touch of good fortune consistently help us uncover valuable opportunities.

Attractive Location and Market Dynamics

St. Petersburg and its surrounding areas are experiencing steady population growth, driven by the area’s appeal to both young professionals and retirees, as well as the general influx of new residents to Florida.

This growth results in sustained demand for rental properties, especially in well-positioned neighborhoods like Greater Pinellas Point.

Proximity to key economic and leisure areas, coupled with ongoing urbanization, supports the stability and potential appreciation of rental prices.

The location in South St. Petersburg is particularly advantageous. Within 10 minutes by car, one can reach the beaches of St. Petersburg, renowned for their scenic views and recreational opportunities.

The Central Avenue Corridor, known for its diverse dining, shopping, and cultural events, is also a short drive away. Additionally, Fort De Soto Park, a popular destination for nature and outdoor enthusiasts, is approximately 15 minutes away and offers extensive beaches and numerous hiking and biking trails.

The nearby Interstate 275 provides convenient access to downtown Tampa with its constantly growing variety in job opportunities, the Skyway Marina District, and other central business areas, enhancing the location’s appeal and providing tenants with great mobility.

Greater Pinellas Point offers easy access to all attractive jobs in the area within a reasonable commute.

Property Details

The 1972-built residential complex, featuring 136 units and spanning approximately 107,048 rentable square feet, was available for purchase due to the former owner’s need for liquidity. Despite multiple attempts, the sale was unsuccessful due to financing challenges faced by interested parties.

The property comprises 76 one-bedroom apartments and 60 two-bedroom apartments, with an average size of 787 square feet and a current occupancy rate of 95%. This size and rental rate align perfectly with market needs and tenant budgets.

Initially, the property was marketed to larger, more established investors who made offers above our expectations. After these attempts failed, the broker recommended Whitestone Capital, emphasizing the need for a quick, well-financed, and reliable partner.

This recommendation led us to secure the property at approximately one million USD below the seller’s asking price, gaining a significant advantage through this off-market deal.

Challenges and Opportunities

  • The unexpectedly favorable acquisition price is key to achieving significant value appreciation in the coming years. It is unprecedented for a Whitestone project to acquire a well-leased, profitable asset with minimal immediate management needs or crisis interventions.
  • The Freddie Mac agency financing over five years provides a currently attractive and fixed interest rate of 5,8%. We successfully secured sufficient investors to reduce the Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratio to 55%, starting with a solid capital base. This lower LTV offers several advantages:
    • Protection of invested capital from market fluctuations, providing a secure foundation for long-term growth.
    • Full interest-only financing over five years, increasing cash returns by deferring principal payments.
    • Strengthened income streams and reduced risk during the holding period.
    • Elimination of the need for additional financing in case of unforeseen expenses.
    • Improved lender terms due to lower leverage.
    • This financing enables us to distribute a recurring cash yield every quarter, starting after just two quarters. Initially, this yield will be approximately 5% p.a. and is projected to increase to around 10% p.a. according to our business plan.

This strategy presents a robust investment opportunity that combines stability, income security, and long-term growth potential.

Planned Improvements

The planned upgrades include:

  • Installation of ceiling fans in all bedrooms
  • Conversion to LED flat panels in kitchens, hallways, and living rooms
  • Replacement of all doors and hardware
  • Addition of washer and dryer connections and equipment in all two-bedroom units
  • Installation of tiled backsplashes in the kitchens.
  • Updates to electrical and plumbing fixtures as needed

Exterior improvements will involve:

  • Fresh exterior paint for the buildings
  • Attractive landscaping redesign
  • New signage, wayfinding systems, and rebranding
  • Expanded exterior lighting
  • Roof renovation, including the installation of insulation.
  • Replacement of damaged wall coverings
  • Enhancements to the clubhouse, fitness center, and laundry room

A budget of 1.1 million USD has been allocated for these improvements. Upon completion, we anticipate a property value increase of approximately 4.7 million USD.

Interior ceiling collapse and insulation debris following roof failure

Exposed roof structure following storm-related material loss

Fallen tree obstructing primary walkway access to building

Roofing crews applying new TPO membrane to restore waterproofing and structural integrity

Operational Update – Hurricane Milton Impact

On October 9, 2024, Hurricane Milton made landfall on Florida’s west coast, causing relevant damage across the Tampa Bay region. “The Bay Point” was significantly impacted, but we are grateful that all residents and staff remained safe.

In advance of the storm, we activated our Emergency Response & Hurricane Protocol, which included securing loose items, boarding up facilities, notifying residents of evacuation zones, and pre-coordinating with emergency contractors and insurance adjusters. Thanks to these preparations, we were able to respond quickly once the storm passed.

Emergency Preparedness Efforts

Damage Assessment

  • Notified residents about storm forecasts and evacuation zones.
  • Secured trash bins, pool furniture, and outdoor equipment.
  • Boarded up the leasing office and critical areas.
  • Cleared storm drains and trimmed trees.
  • Pre-alerted insurance brokers, carriers, and adjusters.
  • Arranged roofing contractors and emergency responders to be on standby.
  • Closed the leasing office in a timely manner to ensure staff and resident safety.

These efforts minimized the risk to tenants and set the stage for a faster recovery.

  • Multiple fallen trees, including one large tree leaning against a building.
  • Extensive roof damage; drone inspections revealed three buildings with major roofing loss.
  • Debris scattered across the property.
  • Interior damage rendered at least 10 units immediately uninhabitable.

Insurance and Recovery Strategy

We have submitted a complete Business Loss Income Insurance claim covering operational disruptions through March 31st. Advance payments from our insurance carrier are expected shortly, ensuring continuity during the recovery phase. Our team is working closely with the public adjuster’s CPA to document lost rental income, repair costs, utilities, and associated expenses.

Insurance coverage is expected to compensate for lost rents up to 92% occupancy for up to two years, providing strong financial protection during the rebuilding process.

Leasing and Occupancy Performance

  • 224 leasing inquiries were received in March.
  • 94% occupancy was maintained on available units.
  • 3 lease renewals completed in March, with a 7.1% rent increase annualized.
  • In-place rents have grown 4.2% since acquisition, exceeding projections.

Our AI leasing assistant, “Lisa”, has further streamlined leasing efforts, handling tenant inquiries and scheduling tours effectively, maintaining strong lead conversion despite adverse conditions.

Capital Improvement Opportunity

While the hurricane damage is unfortunate, it presents a unique opportunity for property enhancement:

  • Replacement of multiple roofs will strengthen the asset’s long-term value.
  • Several affected units were already scheduled for renovation; insurance-supported repairs will allow for more efficient upgrades.
  • Exterior work will include repainting and landscaping to boost curb appeal.

This reconstruction phase will allow The Bay Point to emerge stronger, safer, and even more attractive to tenants.

Recovery in Action

Reconstruction is already underway:

  • Roofers have secured all critical sections.
  • Interior remediation teams are operating on-site.
  • Cleanup and stabilization efforts continue daily.

Commitment to Investors

We will continue to provide weekly updates as recovery progresses. Thanks to robust insurance coverage and disciplined asset management, The Bay Point remains well positioned for full stabilization. We are confident that these efforts will lead not only to full restoration, but to an even stronger asset for the long term.

Two bedroom floor plan

One bedroom floor plan

Leasing Office

Results to Date

Initial Project Steps

Since acquiring the property in June/July 2024, we have been in the early stages of familiarizing ourselves with the project. One of the first steps we took was establishing the new name and launching a corresponding website.

This creates a solid foundation for branding and communication with prospective tenants and stakeholders.

Model Unit

Additionally, we immediately renovated, furnished, and designed a model unit as a prototype for the future renovations of all units.

This show apartment allows prospective tenants to get a tangible sense of the quality of the finishes, the layout, and the overall living experience. By creating an emotional connection, we help visitors envision themselves living in the space while offering suggestions for optimal room utilization.

Looking Ahead with Confidence

We are now looking forward to the next five years with both enthusiasm and calm determination. This project holds special significance for us as it demonstrates that Whitestone Capital has matured: we are surrounded by well-capitalized investors who trust in our capabilities.

We can apply the skills we have honed over nearly a decade in an environment free from the pressures of urgency.

Commitment to Long-Term Success

Our focus remains on what defines Whitestone Capital—measured professionalism and the execution of long-term, forward-thinking strategies.

We approach the project with confidence, knowing that our calm and calculated approach will deliver sustained value over time.

We will keep you posted

We will continue to keep you informed as we progress through this exciting project!

Unlocking Value in Hermsdorf: Hohefeld 58

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Why we invested

Located in the verdant northern region of Berlin, Hermsdorf offers a perfect blend of urban flair and natural serenity. With its superb infrastructure, diverse leisure opportunities, and charming town center, this neighborhood has evolved into a coveted residential locale.

Enclosed by the prestigious Frohnau and the continuously expanding Glienicke, the growth of this borough is nothing short of inevitable.

In 2004, this certainty was not as pronounced when the property at HohefeldstraĂźe 58 was presented to us. At that time, while many investors were financing price escalations in districts like Prenzlauer Berg, we recognized the potential of a location that was not yet on everyone’s radar.

We were aware that we would find undervalued properties in this (still) emotionally neutral setting – such as the one on the corner of Hohefeldstraße and Oswinsteig, just a few steps from the picturesque Waldsee lake.

This investment was conceived less as a speculative venture and more as a long-term holding property.

Opportunities and Challenges

  • Due to suboptimal management (nowadays almost a prerequisite for Whitestone properties), our initial task was to establish a positive relationship with tenants who understood that our investment necessitated adjustments in rental rates.
  • Thanks to the financing conditions at the time, it was possible to secure 100% financing, entirely covered by rental income.
  • Nevertheless, it was foreseeable that reinvestments would be necessary in the future, both in the property itself and within the apartments, in order to justify higher rental rates.

Results

We were able to finance both the property itself and the necessary investments in the subsequent years entirely through external capital, making it nearly impossible to calculate a return on equity.

Within three years, we successfully raised previously neglected rents by almost one hundred percent, thus ensuring sustainable refinancing.

To convey a strong message to the tenants, we promptly dispatched a craftsman to the property on the very day the purchase agreement was signed. The purpose of this immediate action was to have the aging fence freshly painted prior to our first on-site visit.

This proactive measure aimed to demonstrate our commitment to the tenants and their well-being. Our efforts were met with positive responses.

In friendly cooperation with the tenants, we were able to steadily improve both the standard of the property and the rental rates over the years.

Eventually, after nearly 15 years, we possessed an asset that had appreciated in value by more than fourfold.

Continuing our activities as Whitestone Capital in the USA led to the sale of the property at the end of 2018.

This project, too, inspired us to implement our strategy and methods in different market conditions. We were confident that we would achieve even greater success within the legal, jurisdictional, and political framework of the United States.

Today, we know that our confidence was well-founded.

Nonetheless, we shall never forget our humble roots in HohefeldstraĂźe, which gave us the confidence for our great leap forward.

Patience is a virtue: Berliner Allee 4

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Why we invested

The house in Berliner Allee Nr. 4 in Schönerlinde stands as our first significant investment project, undertaken without external partners.

While not particularly spectacular, it represents a crucial milestone that demonstrated our capabilities and was our personal “proof of concept” to our idea of real estate investing.

Soon after the fall of the Berlin Wall, it became evident that several Brandenburg towns bordering Berlin would experience significant appreciation as part of the city’s “outer belt.” One such town is Wandlitz, renowned as a retreat for the former GDR leadership.

Just a few meters beyond Berlin’s border lies the small town of Schönerlinde. Within a short drive, the large hospital complex in Berlin-Buch serves as a magnet for many medical professionals, for whom we aimed to provide new homes with this project.

Opportunities and Challenges

  • At the time, public transportation connections were abysmal. The nearest S-Bahn station was a 15-minute walk away.
  • Additionally, even after reunification, the village remained largely undeveloped.
  • Furthermore, several old outbuildings had to be demolished, and the courtyard had to be repaved.
  • The development of the location was uncertain and not without speculation. It was by no means guaranteed that the small village would attract the necessary tenants.
  • Consequently, the initial square meter rents were around three euros. At the same time, in our early stages, we were not yet equipped with the financial resources we have today.
  • This also ensured that it would be a long-term project, where gradual increases in value would have to be awaited rather than annual ones.

Results

Leveraging the low initial rents, we were able to negotiate favorable terms with tenants and implement the renovation of the exterior spaces and individual apartments in a phased manner.

This allowed us to continuously reinvest the ongoing rental income and essentially grow the property organically without the need for further equity or external financing. This approach enabled us to cultivate the necessary patience and composure to observe the developments in Buch and Wandlitz.

Thus, we continuously enhanced the property, culminating in the complete renovation of the facade, serving as the building’s calling card.

With this comprehensive refurbishment, we were able to sell the property, albeit after 12 years of patience, at a profit of over 350%.

While this initial project was situated in a price range below one million euros, it served as a catalyst for our firm, not least in terms of percentage return.

We gained the confidence to identify sound investment opportunities and learned valuable lessons in assessing the viability of a property’s location.The decision to focus on future projects in more attractive locations also stems from the lessons learned in this seemingly unassuming suburb.

The Schönerlinde project exemplifies our ability to identify undervalued assets, implement a patient and strategic investment approach, and capitalize on long-term value creation.

This success instilled confidence in our ability to find sound investments and underscored the importance of careful location assessment.